One rating per team, on the same points scale as the game board — a team's overall number is how many points better or worse than a league-average team it projects on a neutral field, split into offense (points scored vs an average defense) and defense (points prevented vs an average offense). They're solved from the model's own game lines, so the ratings, the game cards and the predictor below all agree. Informational projections, not graded bets · markets are sharp · 21+.
MATCHUP PREDICTOR
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Projected score, spread, total and win probability from the two teams' power ratings plus home-field edge. Neutral-site removes the home edge (use it for a Super Bowl or a London game). A model view, informational only · 21+.
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Team
Overall
Offense
Defense
Proj PF/g
Proj PA/g
SB%
Ratings are model outputs shown for research. "Overall" is offense plus defense, in points versus an average opponent on a neutral field. Proj PF/PA per game are what the ratings expect against a league-average opponent. SB% is the model's de-vigged Super-Bowl fair probability. Entertainment & information only · 21+ · Please bet responsibly.